Just finished rebalancing of the two biggest accounts under my control. My Fidelity 403B account (Van Gogh) now has the following asset allocation:
EFA: 20%, VWO: 20%, Global Ex-US: 10%, SPY: 10%, US Medium/Small Cap: 10%, US REIT Index: 10%, Long Term Treasuries: 10%, US Long Term Corporate Bonds: 10%
The 457 account (El Greco) now has the following asset allocation:
Fidelity Contrafund: 25%, American Euro-Pacific Growth: 25%, Vanguard Wellington: 25%, Vanguard Long Term Investment Grade Bonds: 25%.
I think this rebalancing will increase my overall emerging market allocation and bond allocation. I will have concrete numbers later in the month when I feed in the new numbers into the spreadsheet. Overall I am targeting a 70-30 Stock-Bond split with a 30 US, 20 Ex-US Developed and 20 Emerging Markets distribution for stocks.
I Save, most of which I Invest, rest I Trade with - and all of that is archived here along with some random thoughts and my favorite art.
Thursday, May 2, 2013
Thursday, April 25, 2013
Rebalancing 457 Account
El Greco is my 457 account with a decent balance of about 12 Units now. I have decided to keep this account as my test bed for active investing - I keep actively managed mutual funds here. However, my current asset allocation in this account has some pretty significant problems:
- I have both EFA and the Euro Pacific Growth Fund - they essentially replicate each other. Keeping with the account's focus on actively managed MFs - I will get rid of EFA from here.
- I have reduced my Bonds allocation too low in here. I am coming around to a 70-30 Stock-Bond split as a minimum. So I will increase allocation for the bond fund here.
With the above in mind, I expect the following asset allocation in this account when I rebalance at the start of May:
Fidelity Contrafund 25% ER 0.74%
Vanguard Wellington 25% ER 0.17%
American EuroPacific Growth 25% ER 0.50%
Vanguard Long Term Investment Grade Bonds 25% ER 0.12%
Some thoughts on above:
- Since Wellington is a balanced fund with some 33% bond allocation - the portfolio above is about 25 + (0.33 * 25) = 33% bonds. This is fine with my 70-30 asset allocation.
- I am not happy with 0.74% ER for Contrafund. I am going to watch its performance closely to see if its worth its expense.
- Pleasantly surprised with the low ER for Wellington. Vanguard is earning my trust.
- The range of investment choices in this account is really poor - I really need a decent Emerging Markets choice here. Well - I will have to make that deficit up in a different account.
Wednesday, April 24, 2013
Rebalancing Fidelity Funds
Fidelity is my largest platform. My largest account - Van Gogh, 13 Units, is with Fidelity. I have adopted a passive, index fund based approach to this account. Put an asset allocation, rebalance every quarter and then forget until the next rebalance date.
It is time again to rebalance - and also an opportunity to evaluate my fund choices. Recently, I have been reading Bogleheads and have started putting a lot more focus on Expense Ratios of mutual funds. So here goes the current state of affairs:
Spartan International Index 20% ER 0.17%
Spartan Emerging Markets Index 20% ER 0.35%
Spartan Extended Market Index 10% ER 0.07%
Spartan 500 Index 10% ER 0.05%
Fidelity NASDAQ Composite Index 10% ER 0.58%
Fidelity Long Term Treasuries Index 10% ER 0.10%
Fidelity Investment Grade Bonds 10% ER 0.45%
Fidelity New Markets Income 10% ER 0.87%
As we can see above, most of the fund choices are reasonable in their Expense Ratios. The only one that seems quite out of line is the Fidelity New Markets Income and to some extent, the Fidelity NASDAQ Composite Index. Really, there is no reason why an index fund should cost more than 0.50%. So I need to look for replacements for these two.
Fidelity makes it really difficult to find low cost funds. The list of funds do not show their ERs - you need to go to the specific fund's page to find that out. There is no way to sort funds by their ERs. You can screen funds by a maximum ER threshold - if you can find your way to the advanced screening option. Well - these are small roadblocks - I don't know why Fidelity bothers putting them up (just bad design perhaps) - but half hour on the website is enough to unravel these. I have spent the time - and have emerged with the following conclusions:
Spartan International Index 20% ER 0.17%
Spartan Emerging Markets Index 20% ER 0.35%
Spartan Extended Market Index 10% ER 0.07%
Spartan 500 Index 10% ER 0.05%
Spartan Real Estate Index Fund 10% ER 0.20%
Fidelity Long Term Treasuries Index 15% ER 0.10%
Fidelity Corporate Bonds Fund 15% ER 0.45%
That looks reasonable. I wish I had another bond fund candidate so that all three could have a 10% allocation.
Update: I have another candidate fund - Spartan Global ex-US Index Fund - has a low ER 0.28%. It is about 78% Developed ex-USA and 22% EM. I can put 10% here and bring down the two bond funds to 10% each.
It is time again to rebalance - and also an opportunity to evaluate my fund choices. Recently, I have been reading Bogleheads and have started putting a lot more focus on Expense Ratios of mutual funds. So here goes the current state of affairs:
Spartan International Index 20% ER 0.17%
Spartan Emerging Markets Index 20% ER 0.35%
Spartan Extended Market Index 10% ER 0.07%
Spartan 500 Index 10% ER 0.05%
Fidelity NASDAQ Composite Index 10% ER 0.58%
Fidelity Long Term Treasuries Index 10% ER 0.10%
Fidelity Investment Grade Bonds 10% ER 0.45%
Fidelity New Markets Income 10% ER 0.87%
As we can see above, most of the fund choices are reasonable in their Expense Ratios. The only one that seems quite out of line is the Fidelity New Markets Income and to some extent, the Fidelity NASDAQ Composite Index. Really, there is no reason why an index fund should cost more than 0.50%. So I need to look for replacements for these two.
Fidelity makes it really difficult to find low cost funds. The list of funds do not show their ERs - you need to go to the specific fund's page to find that out. There is no way to sort funds by their ERs. You can screen funds by a maximum ER threshold - if you can find your way to the advanced screening option. Well - these are small roadblocks - I don't know why Fidelity bothers putting them up (just bad design perhaps) - but half hour on the website is enough to unravel these. I have spent the time - and have emerged with the following conclusions:
- Fidelity New Markets Income is gone. I will replace it with Spartan Real Estate Index Fund (FSRVX). This fund has an ER of 0.20% and it follows the DJ Real Estate Index - the corresponding ETF is IYR. I did want to have an exposure to RE.
- Fidelity Investment Grade Bonds is gone. I will replace it with Fidelity Corporate Bond Fund (FCBFX). The two funds have the same ER - but I get bonds with much longer duration (and hence higher yield) with FCBFX.
- Remove NASDAQ Index Fund. Its 10% allocation will be taken by the REIT fund.
- To continue to have a 70-30 Stock-Bond split, the two bond funds will now have 15% allocation each.
Spartan International Index 20% ER 0.17%
Spartan Emerging Markets Index 20% ER 0.35%
Spartan Extended Market Index 10% ER 0.07%
Spartan 500 Index 10% ER 0.05%
Spartan Real Estate Index Fund 10% ER 0.20%
Fidelity Long Term Treasuries Index 15% ER 0.10%
Fidelity Corporate Bonds Fund 15% ER 0.45%
That looks reasonable. I wish I had another bond fund candidate so that all three could have a 10% allocation.
Update: I have another candidate fund - Spartan Global ex-US Index Fund - has a low ER 0.28%. It is about 78% Developed ex-USA and 22% EM. I can put 10% here and bring down the two bond funds to 10% each.
Thursday, April 4, 2013
Generating Consistent Income From Investments
One of my accounts (Da Vinci, 2 Units) is an HSA account. I want to invest these funds in a way that they generate consistent income so that I can use the income to fund small medical bills. So far, I have relied on JNK for the purpose - a nice 6.7% yield. However, dividend payouts in JNK has been dropping every month; there is talk of a bubble in junk bonds - and I think I am losing the opportunity for capital growth by keeping JNK long term. So I want to diversify my holdings here.
I have four constraints while diversifying here. First - I would like to get some emerging markets exposure since I think I am under-invested in emerging markets currently. Second - I would like to get some real estate in the mix since right now I don't have any. Third - I would like all assets in this account to be high yield with preferably monthly dividends. Lastly, to avoid trading costs, I would like to only include ETFs from TD Ameritrade's commission free ETF list, as far as possible.
After searching far and wide - this is my tentative list:
1. JNK - nothing beats the high yield and monthly payout. I will reduce the size of this holding significantly and focus on building it back up using dollar cost averaging so as to minimize capital risk.
2. RWX - International real estate. Very high yield (6.49%) and emerging markets plus REIT exposure.
3. DEM - International dividend paying stocks. This is not part of TD's commission free ETFs - so I would make a one time significant purchase of DEM and then let that be.
4. VYM - US dividend paying stocks.
I will start by re-allocating my portfolio to have JNK 10%, RWX 10%, DEM 40% and VYM 40%. Any dividend will be pushed into JNK or RWX, unless they are needed for current medical bills. Holding in DEM and VYM will be left along for long term portfolio. VYM will be sold first in case of larger medical bills (no-commission) and DEM will be the last to be sold, if needed.
I think this is a good plan. I will implement is around end of the month when JNK moves out of the 30-day window for commission free trades.
Today's art is another of Rome's spectacles - The Trevi Fountain - a sight to behold, especially at night.
I have four constraints while diversifying here. First - I would like to get some emerging markets exposure since I think I am under-invested in emerging markets currently. Second - I would like to get some real estate in the mix since right now I don't have any. Third - I would like all assets in this account to be high yield with preferably monthly dividends. Lastly, to avoid trading costs, I would like to only include ETFs from TD Ameritrade's commission free ETF list, as far as possible.
After searching far and wide - this is my tentative list:
1. JNK - nothing beats the high yield and monthly payout. I will reduce the size of this holding significantly and focus on building it back up using dollar cost averaging so as to minimize capital risk.
2. RWX - International real estate. Very high yield (6.49%) and emerging markets plus REIT exposure.
3. DEM - International dividend paying stocks. This is not part of TD's commission free ETFs - so I would make a one time significant purchase of DEM and then let that be.
4. VYM - US dividend paying stocks.
I will start by re-allocating my portfolio to have JNK 10%, RWX 10%, DEM 40% and VYM 40%. Any dividend will be pushed into JNK or RWX, unless they are needed for current medical bills. Holding in DEM and VYM will be left along for long term portfolio. VYM will be sold first in case of larger medical bills (no-commission) and DEM will be the last to be sold, if needed.
I think this is a good plan. I will implement is around end of the month when JNK moves out of the 30-day window for commission free trades.
Today's art is another of Rome's spectacles - The Trevi Fountain - a sight to behold, especially at night.
Wednesday, April 3, 2013
Pre-Paying Mortgage: Pros and Cons
I have read all the pros and cons of pre-paying your mortgage. I had been a convert to the pay-it-quickly mindset - and have been typically putting in double the principal payment each month. However, I have now reconsidered. I am now putting just the regular payment (rounded up to the nearest hundred - old habits die hard!). The argument that won me over was in a blog comment (unfortunately I don't recall which - perhaps Get Rich Slowly). The argument goes as follows (paraphrased in my words):
Since I just got back from Rome, here is, in my opinion, the best sight in Rome. The Sistine Chapel Side Frescos. Yes - the ceiling by Michelangelo is great - but I found the side frescoes to be the real star. The one below by Botticelli, called "The Temptation of Christ" is my favorite.
The problem with mortgages are that they essentially reset every month. The fact that you prepaid thousands of dollars of principal this month does not mean anything as far as the next month's payment is concerned. If you miss the deadline next month - you are in default and are soon looking at foreclosure. We don't know the future - shit can and will happen. Instead of pre-paying the mortgage, put that additional payment into a dedicated investment account with a low risk interest bearing instrument. You will get the same or more in return as the after-tax mortgage rate - so you are not losing money. But - now you have the flexibility of continuing to make your payments. If this reserve gets too big then take a portion and make a lump-sum payment to your mortgage. Best of both worlds!I completely agree with the argument above. I am growing more risk-averse as I am growing older - and this fits with my evolving risk taking profile. Mitigate the risk of future default by keeping aside the mortgage prepayment money. It will still go to the mortgage - but at a later date of my choosing and after working as a foreclosure insurance.
Since I just got back from Rome, here is, in my opinion, the best sight in Rome. The Sistine Chapel Side Frescos. Yes - the ceiling by Michelangelo is great - but I found the side frescoes to be the real star. The one below by Botticelli, called "The Temptation of Christ" is my favorite.
Taking Stock: March 2013
Another new month and with it - another Taking Stock post. Mar 2013 has been good - markets have done well - so I expect my nest egg should have grown a bit. Lets take a look:
Bernini: 12
El Greco: 11
Klimt: 5
Durer and Bruegel: 3 each
Monet and Da Vinci: 2 each
Renoir and Turner: 1 each
Total Portfolio Value: 52.2 Units
Van Gogh: 13Bernini: 12
El Greco: 11
Klimt: 5
Durer and Bruegel: 3 each
Monet and Da Vinci: 2 each
Renoir and Turner: 1 each
Change Over Last Month
The last Taking Stock had the total portfolio value at 50.2 Units - so we have a net 2.0 unit change in a month. That represents a 3.98% monthly growth including new contributions. Considering that the total portfolio value at the start of the year was 46.6 Units, we have a YTM growth of 12.02%. Not too shabby!
Thursday, March 14, 2013
HSA Account Fees - Horrible!
I like HSA Accounts. They are great for saving taxes and paying for essential medical services with pre-tax money. I have an HSA Account - Da Vinci - and I have a good bit of money there - 2 Units at the last Taking Stock post.
Now the problem - LGB (Little Grey Butterfly, AKA my spouse and partner-in-crime) is no longer employed at the company that had the kind of insurance plan required for HSA. So we can't make HSA contributions any more. Fine. However, the problem is that the HSA Bank, the organization that runs our HSA Account, starts charging all kinds of fees the moment you are an independent account (compared to one still working with the company they have a relationship with).
Here is a list of fees by HSA Bank: Stupid Fees!
The two that hurt the most - mostly because a user has no control on them - is the Monthly Maintenance Fee of $2.50 and Monthly Investment Fee of $3.00. So $5.50 in fees every month just to have that account and to invest the balance in the account.
To avoid the fees, I would have to keep $5,000 balance in the HSA base account. The balance in the investment account does not count. Now, it would have been no trouble if the account gave a decent interest rate - but of course that is not the case. The current interest rate on balances below $15K is 0.65%. So if I keep a balance of $5K in HSA, then I would make a monthly interest of $2.71 while I would forgo an investment income of $20.83 (assuming a 5% return - which is conservative given that my current holding of JNK is returning close to 7%). So the choice is clear - keeping $5K balance is a loser by (20.83 - 2.71 - 5.50) = $12.62 per month. I am keeping ALL of my HSA Balance (except a couple hundreds to take care of medical bills as they arise) in the investment account - monthly fees be damned!
Today's Art: the ceiling of St. Ignatius' Church in Rome, Italy (since I will be there in just a couple days!). Where do the walls end and the painting begin - it is wonder.
Now the problem - LGB (Little Grey Butterfly, AKA my spouse and partner-in-crime) is no longer employed at the company that had the kind of insurance plan required for HSA. So we can't make HSA contributions any more. Fine. However, the problem is that the HSA Bank, the organization that runs our HSA Account, starts charging all kinds of fees the moment you are an independent account (compared to one still working with the company they have a relationship with).
Here is a list of fees by HSA Bank: Stupid Fees!
The two that hurt the most - mostly because a user has no control on them - is the Monthly Maintenance Fee of $2.50 and Monthly Investment Fee of $3.00. So $5.50 in fees every month just to have that account and to invest the balance in the account.
To avoid the fees, I would have to keep $5,000 balance in the HSA base account. The balance in the investment account does not count. Now, it would have been no trouble if the account gave a decent interest rate - but of course that is not the case. The current interest rate on balances below $15K is 0.65%. So if I keep a balance of $5K in HSA, then I would make a monthly interest of $2.71 while I would forgo an investment income of $20.83 (assuming a 5% return - which is conservative given that my current holding of JNK is returning close to 7%). So the choice is clear - keeping $5K balance is a loser by (20.83 - 2.71 - 5.50) = $12.62 per month. I am keeping ALL of my HSA Balance (except a couple hundreds to take care of medical bills as they arise) in the investment account - monthly fees be damned!
Today's Art: the ceiling of St. Ignatius' Church in Rome, Italy (since I will be there in just a couple days!). Where do the walls end and the painting begin - it is wonder.
Sunday, March 10, 2013
Bernini Growth Rate Assumption
I have been considering a conservative growth rate assumption of 3% for the account Bernini. It is a pension account, managed by a state investment board. The board uses a smoothing approach to returns - smoothing returns over a five year period. The returns in the past years have been dismal (and hence the 3% assumption), not because the fund was doing poorly - but because the effects of year 2008 were still being felt. Now that we are in 2013, we are out of the five year smoothing window for 2008 - so the growth rate in 2013 should be pretty decent.
Given the fast pace of market growth in the first two months, I am revising the Bernini growth rate assumption to 12% - or 1% per year. I will not be updating the existing Taking Stock posts - but future Taking Stock posts will reflect the upward revision of Bernini account balance for last two months.
Bernini now stands at 12 Units. The total portfolio value (including market growth in past few days) is now 50.5 Units.
Given the fast pace of market growth in the first two months, I am revising the Bernini growth rate assumption to 12% - or 1% per year. I will not be updating the existing Taking Stock posts - but future Taking Stock posts will reflect the upward revision of Bernini account balance for last two months.
Bernini now stands at 12 Units. The total portfolio value (including market growth in past few days) is now 50.5 Units.
Wednesday, March 6, 2013
Current Asset Allocation
So I did some calculations to find out my overall asset allocation. Here are the results:
So, overall I am close to 70% Stocks and 30% Bonds (including others, which are mostly bond-like instruments). Of my total portfolio, 36% is US Stocks, 21% is International Developed World Stocks and 12.5% is Emerging Markets Stocks.
Prima facie, it feels like I am overexposed to the US market at the cost of my exposure to Emerging Markets. I am going to look to reduce my US Market allocation and increase allocation to Emerging Markets as opportunities present themselves.
Today's art is a little different. This is the famous Bean in Chicago's downtown lakefront by Anish Kapoor. The official name is Cloud Gate - and it is one of most accessible, interactive and popular work of art that I have ever seen.
So, overall I am close to 70% Stocks and 30% Bonds (including others, which are mostly bond-like instruments). Of my total portfolio, 36% is US Stocks, 21% is International Developed World Stocks and 12.5% is Emerging Markets Stocks.
Prima facie, it feels like I am overexposed to the US market at the cost of my exposure to Emerging Markets. I am going to look to reduce my US Market allocation and increase allocation to Emerging Markets as opportunities present themselves.
Today's art is a little different. This is the famous Bean in Chicago's downtown lakefront by Anish Kapoor. The official name is Cloud Gate - and it is one of most accessible, interactive and popular work of art that I have ever seen.
Tuesday, March 5, 2013
Taking Stock: Feb 2013
Total Portfolio Value: 50.2 Units
Van Gogh: 12 Units. 15% Bonds and 85% Stocks asset allocation. The 85% Stock allocation is divided between developed countries (25%), emerging markets (25%) and US market (35%). US market is further divided into NASDAQ Index (10%), S&P 500 Index (10%) and mid-caps and small caps (15%).Bernini: 11 Units. Currently budgeting a 3% growth rate in this account.
El Greco: 11 Units. 10% long term investment grade bonds and 90% stocks. Fidelity Contrafund, Vanguard Wellington and American Euro-Pacific Growth each gets 20%, 20% to Developed Ex-US to bring some geographical diversity and 10% to S&P 500 to absorb the reduction on bond allocation.
Klimt: 5 Units. Yield is further down - though still > 5%.
Durer: 3 Units. Target Retirement Fund with 2050 target. It is currently 90% Stock (67% US, 23% International) and 10% Bonds.
Bruegel: 3 Units.EPI, FXI and INTC. Emerging markets have been weak recently.
Monet: 2 Units. EWP and F. My best recent investment picks.
DaVinci: 2 Units. JNK bounced back, the yield improved mildly too..
Renoir and Turner: 1 Unit each in DEO and VZ. Both at all time highs. In addition, I am holding various amounts of DVY in different accounts to hold small sums accumulated through dividends.
Growth Since Last Taking Stock
The Jan 2013 Taking Stock had the total account value at 48.4 Units - so we are looking at a growth of 1.8 Units - 3.72% in a month. YTM 7.73%. We have reached 50+ Units of total portfolio value. Nice.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)